Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 3.523966 3.745923 3.982545 4.254951 4.561646 4.898379 5.298994
2024-10-13 3.168728 3.455060 3.774676 4.161999 4.624479 5.166844 5.863391
2024-10-20 2.892696 3.214490 3.586460 4.055854 4.644125 5.374473 6.380663
2024-10-27 2.650828 2.988954 3.390587 3.914157 4.597256 5.488281 6.797229
2024-11-03 2.559027 2.933184 3.391639 4.012535 4.863216 6.044677 7.937109
2024-11-10 2.500260 2.911590 3.431163 4.162492 5.217262 6.787273 9.574401
2024-11-17 2.366787 2.784442 3.322580 4.099833 5.261363 7.079228 10.574634
2024-11-24 2.237906 2.654331 3.199514 4.003754 5.241988 7.266346 11.456373
2024-12-01 2.135134 2.552065 3.106301 3.940853 5.264408 7.527503 12.603117
2024-12-08 2.050070 2.468279 3.032318 3.898607 5.313217 7.845184 14.041222
2024-12-15 2.006532 2.437901 3.030385 3.963729 5.547479 8.565240 16.970981
2024-12-22 1.905677 2.323246 2.900720 3.819263 5.401366 8.492847 17.598953
2024-12-29 1.852556 2.280646 2.884534 3.872766 5.653015 9.415958 22.837569
2025-01-05 1.770351 2.192757 2.796102 3.801563 5.667133 9.830551 27.096664
2025-01-12 1.691605 2.105969 2.704096 3.716496 5.644054 10.163377 32.020957
2025-01-19 1.611384 2.013376 2.598011 3.598705 5.540245 10.265028 36.271776
2025-01-26 1.585667 1.998676 2.610393 3.686784 5.877373 11.764105 61.322895
2025-02-02 1.570509 1.998439 2.645027 3.818495 6.342966 14.032493 169.619961
2025-02-09 1.518466 1.940274 2.583254 3.766504 6.378349 14.845293 418.463939
2025-02-16 1.464408 1.876747 2.509263 3.684974 6.329559 15.320184 2202.186787
2025-02-23 1.419535 1.825387 2.452453 3.631573 6.343010 16.110602 NaN
2025-03-02 1.380991 1.782155 2.406720 3.595718 6.396246 17.172512 NaN
2025-03-09 1.361751 1.767791 2.408080 3.652833 6.709680 20.014776 NaN